Publications
Retrenchment Signaling and the Erosion of NATO Credibility under Trump 2.0
Our large survey-based longitudinal study investigates changes in perceptions of NATO’s collective defense commitments across Western allies, Russia as well as British and German parliaments. The study finds a dramatic decline in how the public and elites perceive the credibility of U.S. commitments to NATO during the first year of Trump’s second administration. Find our pre-print here.
Allied Commitments and Public Support for Military Interventions: A Cross-National Experiment
Cross-national survey experiments (N = 7,200) across US, UK, Russia, China, India, and Brazil found that formal alliance treaties boost public support for military interventions globally, but the effect is weaker in non-Western, non-NATO countries, with India and Brazil showing the smallest alliance effect. Find our publication here.