Pre-print: Retrenchment Signaling and the Erosion of NATO Credibility under Trump 2.0

In a new pre-print, Michal Smetana and his colleagues present findings from a large survey-based longitudinal study which investigates changes in perceptions of NATO’s collective defense commitments across Western allies, Russia as well as British and German parliaments. The study finds a dramatic decline in how the public and elites perceive the credibility of U.S. commitments to NATO during the first year of Trump’s second administration. Find our pre-print here.