Would the West defend Taiwan?

This research report investigates public opinion in five NATO countries on defending Taiwan amid rising tensions with China and the start of Trump’s second term in 2025. Survey data from March show broad support for defending Taiwan in North America (58% in the U.S., 60% in Canada), but significantly less in Europe (36% UK, 34% Germany, 25% Poland). Across all countries, support was consistently higher for defending NATO member Latvia than Taiwan. Perceived U.S. commitment to Taiwan’s defense averaged only 41%, with Canada showing the most skepticism (32%) and the U.S. the most confidence (50%). Notably, partisan divides in the U.S. revealed Democrats were more supportive of defending Taiwan but less confident the U.S. would act, while Republicans were the opposite.

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